dorpaddy7fcd 
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Re: “Note to Journalists: Please Explain Your Stats

Thankyou Ryan.The Trib's headline was by no means alarmist. "So let's make some sense of (Lauren Guard). First of all let's compare our homicide rate to some reasonable standard so we can have a clue as to how alarmed we should be. How about the rate for 15-24 year olds for"...similar advanced industrial countries like Britain, Germany and France. It's .9,.8 and .6 respectively. That means a youth in Alameda County is 35 times more likely to be murdered than a youth in France (a country, which you remember, had its racial problems among immigrant youth early in 2006). But the Report goes further than the Trib article drew attention to. The rate for African American males in Alameda County is 186 per 100,000. And Lauren Gard tells us "See - it could be worse." The rate for Columbia - a country beseiged by a low scale civil war - is 86 per 100,000 (admittedly that's for all youth - both male and female). The two things that alarm me are (1) the reaction of people like Lauren Gard (2) the almost complete silence since the report came out. Paddy

Posted by paddy ryle on 01/04/2007 at 7:17 PM

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