chris.thompson542b 
Member since Nov 1, 2007


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Recent Comments

Re: “Kaiser Gets Hit by Dems' New Labor Law

Funny, I was just thinking that point might not be so clear when I was writing the item. Yes, only the House has passed it. But as you point out, Kaiser's already thrown up its hands and let the union in, instead of rolling out the usual anti-union playbook. Score one for incoherence!

Posted by Chris Thompson on 03/07/2007 at 1:45 PM

Re: “Oakland is Doomed! DOOMED!

Jim, both the condo conversion and OUSD stories were straight news pieces. They're not editions of his Undercurrents column, which consists entirely of Allen-Taylor sagely scratching his chin after perusing the dailies. dto510, I don't see why you think the state's numbers are better than those put out by the Census Bureau. According to the state's methodology, the Dept of Finance arrives at its figures largely by taking the 2000 benchmark data and adding the number of housing units built. But the key figure is the number and percentage of occupied housing units. The state's methodology assumes that those figures haven't hasn't changed, but the Census counted 150,790 units in 2000, but only 146,282 in 2005; that's a drop of 4,000 units. (Admittedly, I haven't looked at the Census bureau's method of estimating the occupation rate. But then, neither have you.) In addition, the Census numbers indicate another key demographic change that I don't think the state estimates effectively address. That's the ongoing out-migration of African families, who tend to have extended families and lots of kids. Many white and Asian families (excluding Asian immigrants) moving in tend to have few or no kids, and certainly nothing beyond a nuclear family living in each household. Thus the housing occupancy rate dropped from 2.6 people per unit in 2000 to 2.56 in 2005. We did the math (occupied housing units X people per household), et voila: Oakland's population declined to 374,482.

Posted by Chris Thompson on 01/15/2007 at 2:59 PM

Re: “What to Make of the A's Move to Fremont?

dto510, all redevelopment money comes out of the general fund sooner or later. Redev money is the anticipated increase in property tax revenue, which under normal circumstances would be divided between the county, various agencies like AC Transit, and the city of Oakland. It's possible that state regulations had previously earmarked the redevelopment money that ultimately went to Forest City for low-income housing, but let's not kid ourselves; the general fund took a big hit. To say nothing of the interest and commissions raised by borrowing against future tax revenue...

Posted by Chris Thompson on 11/16/2006 at 1:00 PM

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