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Re: “Oakland Leaders Attribute Drop in Homicides and Shootings to Ceasefire Program

Gentrification has A LOT to do with the decrease and so does prayer.

The memorial photo you used is of one my dearest loved ones.

The situation of violence, homocide, unsolved mutders, human sex trafficking is still very problematic. Residents are afraid of their own neighborhoods, our underaged daughters can't wait for the bus standing at the bus stop, our black and brown men are still underemployed and targets of police misconduct.

Ceasefire is good, but it needs to be more inclusive as far as including the longstanding smaller ministries and organizations who are trusted in their 'hoods by the people.

I'm a human services broker and grant writer who was also the Measure Y Crisis Response manager, so I have to follow the trends and case studies. Congratulations to the people!

WillaDeana White-Perry
FAITH-4 Oakland
(510) 589-8842

Posted by WillaDeana Winchester-White on 01/11/2018 at 4:10 AM

Re: “Broken Pipes, Broken System

Is it true that we are living in the 21st century????
Sometimes I wonder!!!
I live in Australia and in some "outback" areas I thought we had problems.........apparently not, after reading this article!

Posted by John Barltrop on 01/11/2018 at 12:14 AM

Re: “Broken Pipes, Broken System

Id also like to know what ties this contractor has with the city or rather with WHOM. Why does Oakland pour our good money literally down the sewer time after time? Isnt anyone ever accountable? Consistently poor choices should be investigated and find out why the same poor decisions are being made!FOLLOW THE MONEY.

Posted by goldengate on 01/10/2018 at 8:17 PM

Re: “Juanita & Maude Is an Instant Classic in Albany

It was the best all around dining experience we have had here in the East Bay in quite a while.
Looking very forward to going back soon!

Posted by ChefRick on 01/10/2018 at 8:02 PM

Re: “Oakland's Ability to Clamp Down on Blight Threatened

Hearsay but I have heard no one lost their job after that grand jury report.

Posted by Dinah Benson on 01/10/2018 at 7:35 PM

Re: “Oakland Leaders Attribute Drop in Homicides and Shootings to Ceasefire Program

The City of Oakland's duel approach to violence reduction of funding community policing methods and social intervention program started not just with Ceasefire or Measure Z, but its predecessor, Measure Y that passed in 2004. Its been more than a decade in the making. There have been some missed along the way, but, it is one of the more consistent programs that the City has undertaken. I hope the study mentioned in the article will prove out that a long consistent approach that is refined along the way can work. But, hope that study doesn't just start with Measure Z or Ceasefire, Oakland's grand experiment started much earlier.

Posted by Danny Wan on 01/10/2018 at 7:02 PM

Re: “Oakland Leaders Attribute Drop in Homicides and Shootings to Ceasefire Program

A bit of context:

Virtually all pols in Oakland for the last 20 years have announced that the crime rate is down, when it happens to be down a bit
from year to year. This particular PR bit is to be expected.

Homicide rates go up and down from year to year in Oakland. For 40 years or so Oakland's homicide rate has varied from about 50 per year to about 150 per year. The running average for any five year period is just over 100 homicides. No one has been able to establish with any statistical or other kind of certainty why the homicide rate varies as it does.

There are useful statistical methods for determining whether something like a homicide rate is declining or just varying from year to year as has been the experience for many decades. Needless to say Oakland's homicide rate downswing, while a good thing, hasn't yet provided reliable evidence that things are getting better. Ceasefire is a laudable, benign and civilizing effort to make effective crime prevention better in the face of a socially-destructive and biased justice system. Where Ceasefire has worked well, it has reduced
homicides to a fraction of what they were before. This hasn't happened in Oakland. Possibly more resources need to be devoted to Ceasefire. Those of us aware of the historical context of Ceasefire in Oakand know that it was rejected year after year after year by city hall and then when it was finally funded it was funded well below an effective level. And more people died
of gunshots on Oakland streets.

A couple of standard deviations is often used as a measure of significant change. In the case of Oakland homicide that would mean fewer than 60 homicides per year for several years. We ain't there yet, but when a PR opportunity presents itself, our pols are Energizer Bunnies.

The context of other kinds of violent crime presents additional challenges
to what happens with homicide. With homicides we can be somewhat confident of numbers because there are dead bodies which are not to be ignored. We found a couple in our 'hood just last week. Dead bodies tend to be noticed.

Other kinds of violence which don't leave stinky, messy corpses around,
may or may not be reported to authorities. There are specific reasons for this in Oakland: cops often don't respond to calls to 911; the level of trust in cops and in government generally in Oakland is very low so people have just given up on trying to get help when they are mugged or their homes are invaded. This is the natural result of many decades of failed government and general public disregard of city hall. Our pitiful voter turnouts and the huge amount of dumping of trash all over Oakland are further evidence of a lack of civic pride and trust. This profoundly affects the reporting of crimes, even
the most horrid kinds of violence.

A grain of salt is a necessity in Oakland.

A breath of fresh air in Oakland would be a pol who admits the depth of government failure and the pervasive effects of institutional racism and inequality.

Posted by Hobart Johnson on 01/10/2018 at 4:28 PM

Re: “Oakland Leaders Attribute Drop in Homicides and Shootings to Ceasefire Program

Slow your roll Mayor Schaaf, before you get too far out over your skis again. There are crucial demographic and social patterns that have as much to do with the reduced murder rate as Ceasefire. As the contributor above sarcastically noted, over the last 5 years, gentrification has greatly changed the demographics of neighborhoods like West Oakland and North Oakland, where drug and gang related activities had a lot to do with violent crime. Similarly, the flat lands of Central and East Oakland are now majority Hispanic population, where African Americans had been the dominant group since the 1960's. Although there is no doubt that the gang issue is still in play, the specifics of how those groups are formed and interact with each other is different. Many African Americans formerly residing in East Oakland have moved to Antioch and other outlying suburban enclaves over the last 10 years. A review of the crime statistics in those cities would probably lead one to believe that an increase in criminal activity in those cities over that time frame suggests that the criminal activity came with some of those new residents. It is also true that a decrease in the unemployment numbers always reduces the crime rate. People who have jobs are are generally less likely to engage in drugs, property crimes and robbery. Also, when people have something to loose, they are less likely to choose a gun as the first solution to conflict resolution. While there is no doubt that a more inclusive community policing model is important, there are other factors to be considered. I hope the upcoming academic study is broad enough in it's analysis and scope to provide a realistic snapshot of the real impact of this program.

Posted by Gary Patton on 01/10/2018 at 3:45 PM

Re: “A T-Shirt Rises Out of East Oakland

Best, Minnie, Dime, And others are inspiring the next generation. Oakland got artists, muralists, activists and people hungry to see our communities thrive. Were coming for everything they said we could never have. #MexicanRootsOaklandRaised

Posted by Deyci on 01/10/2018 at 3:14 PM

Re: “Why Aren't There More Latinx Nights in Oakland?

I would really like more diversity in the sound. Salsa is fine, but how about incorporating Mexican and Central American sounds - you know - reflective of the music of the majority of Latinos who live in the bay area. Salsa nights always turn into a very Americanized performative sport anyways.

Posted by Yvette Guzman on 01/10/2018 at 1:49 PM

Re: “Et tu, Chucky?

The endless whining of sports fans is topped only by the endless whining of god fans--"Why have you forsaken me?"

Posted by MikeE on 01/10/2018 at 12:06 PM

Re: “Broken Pipes, Broken System

Councilwoman Annie Campbell Washington says her only duty when constituents ask for help is to refer them to someone else--kick the can down the road, in other words. That's a lousy politician, I'd say.

Posted by MikeE on 01/10/2018 at 11:58 AM

Re: “Oakland Approves Tenant Relocation Assistance for Owner Move-Ins and Condo Conversions

Kalb should recognize rent control does not work- it does not add 1 unit of housing to the housing stock. Economists have debunked the theory that rent control has any broader positive impact on housing. Yes it does benefit certain lucky renters (poor or not), but harms mom and pop landlords disproportionately and harms cities housing stock overall, and raises rental prices. Means testing would have disallowed Mayor Ed Koch's rent control apt. I know people (one recently featured in Sunset magazine) who have second homes because they have a rent controlled unit- is that really who you mean to protect? Why do we means test anything?

Posted by Jeff Diver on 01/10/2018 at 10:10 AM

Re: “Broken Pipes, Broken System

Oakland residence are subject to years of incompetent do nothing leadership, a sewage problem is likely the tip of the iceberg. Please hold them accountable, they shouldn't continue to operate above the law.

Posted by bloggermom2 on 01/10/2018 at 9:38 AM

Re: “Broken Pipes, Broken System

I wonder who the contractor has ties to at the city to get that type of work. Oakland being Oakland....

Posted by Robert Hope on 01/10/2018 at 8:48 AM

Re: “Oakland Leaders Attribute Drop in Homicides and Shootings to Ceasefire Program

*cough* Gentrification *cough*

Posted by Robert Hope on 01/10/2018 at 8:45 AM

Re: “The Truth About Medical Marijuana Card Privacy

Wow! What a Great Article Thanks Man! Great work! Really great info.
Keep up the great work!
Disadvantages of Weed

Posted by Muhammad Bilal Khan on 01/10/2018 at 4:00 AM

Re: “Broken Pipes, Broken System

Not the first time Mayorga has been mentioned in the EBX:…

Posted by Ralph Kanz on 01/09/2018 at 8:11 PM

Re: “East Bay Lawyer Makes Domestic Abusers Pay

Although organization professes to assist victims of domestic violence, Alipato Project is actually representing an admitted abuser, Yousef Wally, who has repeatedly apologized for his violent behavior. Inexplicable.

Posted by Jason Cabot on 01/09/2018 at 7:29 PM

Re: “After Less Than Two Months, The Pain Shop Closes its Doors

Need to change the name. Pain is bread in French, but its pain in English.

Posted by Berkeley Native on 01/09/2018 at 5:40 PM

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