Thursday, August 13, 2009

Delaying Gay-Marriage Initiative Until 2012 Makes No Sense

By Robert Gammon
Thu, Aug 13, 2009 at 2:24 PM

Some backers of a California gay-marriage initiative say they will wait until 2012 to run a statewide referendum that would overturn Proposition 8, according to the Chron. But others say they will press ahead with a campaign for the November 2010 election. At this point, it makes sense to go for it in 2010 - and 2012 if it loses next year, plus continue with the legal fight. The argument that voters will be less likely to vote for same-sex marriage rights in 2012 if a measure loses in 2010 just doesn't hold water. Nor does the contention that a loss in the courts will sour people on the idea of allowing gays and lesbians to marry.

Prop. 8 won by four percentage points last November, but now gay marriage is ahead by five points less than a year later, according to the latest poll. In other words, Californians are now more likely to approve of gay-marriage rights after Prop. 8 banned them just nine months ago. In addition, the support for same-sex nuptials appears to be stronger than ever, even though gay-rights supporters just lost in the state Supreme Court in May in their effort to overturn Prop. 8.

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